Cafe X

Business services / Management consulting· New York, NY
NAICS 541600Prior EIN 133747337 (until plan year 2024)
As of · 2 sources, 18 observations, 3 events; scored 3 days ago

What matters now

  1. $0.1M to $0.5M
    probable EBITDA

    Probable EBITDA $0.1M to $0.5M on revenue of $1.3M to $2.4M, estimated from 10 employees.

    Outside the $1M to $15M EBITDA range most independent sponsors state they buy.

    InferenceDFX estimate from headcount on Form 5500, 55% confidence
  2. 47
    dealability of 100

    Why it fits: operating tenure +20, 31 years since earliest plan effective date (floor on age); sector demand +15, business services: sponsor demand index 1.00 (anonymised market prior); workforce stability +10, $921,094 retirement assets per participant suggests a long-tenured workforce.

    The largest contributions to its dealability score, each with the fact it rests on.

    DerivedDFX score, 23 Sep 2026
  3. 76
    data confidence of 100

    How sure the record is: 2 independent sources; latest effective observation 12 Sep 2026; size estimate at 55% confidence.

    How much of this page rests on independent sources rather than on our estimates.

    Measuredcount of sources and dates on the record
Dealability
47
elevated
Sponsor fit
75
high
Transition readiness
0
low
Data confidence
76
high
Opportunity
15
ranking only
What is it

Business services (Management consulting) employer in New York, NY, with 58 benefit plan participants on its latest filing, and a benefit plan in place since 1996. No website description has been captured yet.

Why does it fit
  • +2Size band fit
    Estimate
  • +20Operating tenure
    Fact
  • +10Workforce stability
    Inference
  • +15Sector demand
    Inference
Why now
  • +7Sponsor ein changedOwnership event
    FactJan 1, 2024efast.dol.gov
  • -59.2Plan final filingPossibly resolved
    FactJan 1, 2026efast.dol.gov
  • +10Market pullMarket pull
    Inference
What its own filings say
  1. 2024Who signsmoderate weightFact
    Bryan Marshall signed the company's 2024 federal benefit filing.
    Form 5500 · read Sep 17, 2026
  2. 1996 to 2026Long establishedcontext weightFact
    Has run a benefit plan since 1996, at least 30 years, so the business is older than that.
    Form 5500 · read Sep 17, 2026
  3. 2022 to 2024Workforce on the planflatcontext weightFact
    Covered headcount has been within 15% of 68 people since 2022, at 62 on the latest filing.
    Form 5500 · read Sep 17, 2026
How large is it
Probable revenue
$1.3M to $2.4M Estimate
Probable EBITDA
$130,000 to $480,000 Estimate
Workforce proxy
58 plan participants
Estimate computed on
10 employees, the headcount the size estimate used
Method
employees x sector revenue/employee band x sector EBITDA margin band
Confidence
55%
How certain are we
  • +30Source breadth
    Fact2 independent sources
  • +29.6Freshness
    Factlatest effective observation 2026-09-12
  • +16.5Size estimate quality
    Estimate
What changed
Ownership and transition activity
How the four classes are defined
  1. Jan 1, 2026plan year 2026Company transitionFactFinal filing, next year unpublishedconfidence 80%
    Final Form 5500 for 1 plan; the following plan year is not yet on the record
    Rule: On the 2022 and 2023 tapes, 79 to 80% of sponsors that marked a return final were absent from the RAW Form 5500 record the following plan year (any size, any industry, EIN and successor), against 1.8 to 2.1% of sponsors that did not; that is next-year absence, not a sale rate
    DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets efast.dol.gov · last verified Sep 23, 2026
  2. Jan 1, 2024plan year 2024Company transitionFactSponsor EIN changedconfidence 90%
    Plan sponsor EIN changed on the filing
    DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets efast.dol.gov · last verified Sep 11, 2026
  1. Every dated event
  2. Jan 1, 2026Final benefit plan filingFactTransaction preparation
    Cafe X filed a final Form 5500 for 1 plan
    DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets efast.dol.gov
  3. Jan 1, 2024Plan sponsor EIN changedFactOwnership event
    Cafe X: sponsor EIN changed from 133747337 on its Form 5500-SF
    DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets efast.dol.gov
  4. Jan 1, 2024Entered the Form 5500 recordFactRecord entry
    Cafe X entered the sized Form 5500 universe in plan year 2024: files under a new EIN; the prior EIN 133747337 was on the sized record
    DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets efast.dol.gov
Decision makers

No named leader on the record yet: the company's site did not list one where we read it.

Profile
Founded
benefit plan since Jan 1, 1996 (age floor 30 years)
Ownership
not observed
Plans on file
1
What is the evidence
FactValueClassEffectiveSourceEvidence
Active participants10Fact2024-01-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets
Ebitda band$305,000Estimate2026-09-12DFX model output (scores, estimates, matches)
no URL
Ebitda band$305,000Estimate2026-09-11DFX model output (scores, estimates, matches)
no URL
Hq locationNew York, NYFact2024-01-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets
Naics code541600Fact2024-01-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets
Plan assets eoy usd$4.8MFact2026-01-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets
Plan assets eoy usd$9.2MFact2024-01-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets
Plan assets eoy usd$8.8MFact2023-01-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets
Plan assets eoy usd$9.5MFact2022-01-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets
Plan count1Fact2024-01-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets
Plan effective date earliest1996-01-01Fact2024-01-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets
Plan participants58Fact2026-01-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets
Plan participants62Fact2024-01-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets
Plan participants69Fact2023-01-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets
Plan participants68Fact2022-01-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets
Sponsor signed byBryan MarshallFact2024-01-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets
SubsectorManagement consultingFact2024-01-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets
VerticalBusiness servicesFact2024-01-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets