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Company

R••• I•••

Bay City, MI·Manufacturing / Machinery manufacturing·NAICS 333200
Last verified Sep 23, 2026
2 sources · 12 observations · 2 events
Scored today

What matters now

  1. $0.9M to $3.2M
    probable EBITDA

    Probable EBITDA $0.9M to $3.2M on revenue of $11M to $19.8M, estimated from 55 employees.

    Inside the $1M to $15M EBITDA range most independent sponsors state they buy.

    InferenceDFX estimate from headcount on Form 5500, 55% confidence
  2. 73
    dealability of 100

    Why it fits: operating tenure +20, 63 years since earliest plan effective date (floor on age); sector demand +14.7, industrial manufacturing: sponsor demand index 0.98 (anonymised market prior).

    The largest contributions to its dealability score, each with the fact it rests on.

    DerivedDFX score, 23 Sep 2026
  3. 56
    data confidence of 100

    How sure the record is: 2 independent sources; latest effective observation 23 Sep 2026; size estimate at 55% confidence.

    How much of this page rests on independent sources rather than on our estimates.

    Measuredcount of sources and dates on the record
Dealability
73
high
Sponsor fit
93
high
Transition readiness
0
low
Urgency
0
low
Data confidence
56
elevated
Opportunity
21
ranking only
What is it

Manufacturing (Machinery manufacturing) employer in Bay City, MI, with 55 benefit plan participants on its latest filing, and a benefit plan in place since 1963. No website description has been captured yet.

Why does it fit
  • +37.9S•••••••••
    Estimate••• Locked
  • +20O•••••••••
    Fact••• Locked
  • +14.7S•••••••••
    Inference••• Locked
Why now
  • -42.9P•••••••••Possibly resolved
    Fact••• LockedAug 1, 2024efast.dol.gov
  • +10M•••••••••M•••••••••
    Inference••• Locked
How large is it
Probable revenue
$11.0M to $19.8M Estimate
Probable EBITDA
$880,000 to $3.2M Estimate
Workforce proxy
55 plan participants
Method
employees x sector revenue/employee band x sector EBITDA margin band
Confidence
55%
How certain are we
  • +30S•••••••••
    Fact2 independent sources
  • +9.4F••••••••
    Factlatest effective observation 2026-09-23
  • +16.5S•••••••••
    Estimate••• Locked
What changed
Ownership and transition activity
How the four classes are defined
  1. Oct 1, 2025plan year 2025Company transitionFactFinal filing, next year unpublishedconfidence 80%
    Final Form 5500 for 1 plan; the following plan year is not yet on the record
    Rule: On the 2022 and 2023 tapes, 79 to 80% of sponsors that marked a return final were absent from the RAW Form 5500 record the following plan year (any size, any industry, EIN and successor), against 1.8 to 2.1% of sponsors that did not; that is next-year absence, not a sale rate
    DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets efast.dol.gov · last verified Sep 23, 2026
  2. Aug 1, 2024plan year 2024Company transitionFactPlan terminated, sponsor continuesconfidence 50%
    1 plan marked final; the sponsor filed again the following plan year
    DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets efast.dol.gov · last verified Sep 12, 2026
  1. Every dated event
  2. Oct 1, 2025Final benefit plan filingFactTransaction preparation
    ••• Locked
    DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets efast.dol.gov
  3. Aug 1, 2024Final benefit plan filingFactTransaction preparation
    ••• Locked
    DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets efast.dol.gov
Decision makers

No named leader on the record yet: the company's site did not list one where we read it.

Profile
Founded
benefit plan since Aug 1, 1963 (age floor 63 years)
Ownership
not observed
Plans on file
1
What is the evidence
FactValueClassEffectiveSourceEvidence
Ebitda band$2.0MEstimate2026-09-23DFX model output (scores, estimates, matches)
no URL
••• Locked
Ebitda band$5.5MEstimate2026-09-12DFX model output (scores, estimates, matches)
no URL
••• Locked
Hq locationBay City, MIFact2024-08-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets
Naics code333200Fact2024-08-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets
Plan count1Fact2024-08-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets
Plan effective date earliest1963-08-01Fact2024-08-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets
Plan participants55Fact2025-10-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets
Plan participants150Fact2024-08-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets
Plan participants153Fact2023-08-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets
Plan participants159Fact2022-08-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets
SubsectorMachinery manufacturingFact2024-08-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets
VerticalIndustrial manufacturingFact2024-08-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets