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Specialty distribution / Hardware plumbing hvac wholesale· Orion, MI
NAICS 423700
As of · 2 sources, 10 observations, 2 events; scored 11 days ago

What matters now

  1. $2.6M to $11.8M
    probable EBITDA

    Probable EBITDA $2.6M to $11.8M on revenue of $65.8M to $131.6M, estimated from 188 employees.

    Inside the $1M to $15M EBITDA range most independent sponsors state they buy.

    InferenceDFX estimate from headcount on Form 5500, 45% confidence
  2. 71
    dealability of 100

    Why it fits: operating tenure +20, 28 years since earliest plan effective date (floor on age); sector demand +10.5, specialty distribution: sponsor demand index 0.70 (anonymised market prior).

    The largest contributions to its dealability score, each with the fact it rests on.

    DerivedDFX score, 13 Sep 2026
  3. 37
    data confidence of 100

    How sure the record is: 1 independent source; latest effective observation 1 Jan 2024; size estimate at 45% confidence.

    How much of this page rests on independent sources rather than on our estimates.

    Measuredcount of sources and dates on the record
Dealability
71
high
Sponsor fit
47
elevated
Transition readiness
0
low
Urgency
0
low
Data confidence
37
elevated
Opportunity
19
ranking only
What is it

Specialty distribution (Hardware plumbing hvac wholesale) employer in Orion, MI, with 188 benefit plan participants on its latest filing, and a benefit plan in place since 1999. No website description has been captured yet.

Why does it fit
  • +40S•••••••••
    Estimate••• Locked
  • +20O•••••••••
    Fact••• Locked
  • +10.5S•••••••••
    Inference••• Locked
Why now
  • -37.5P•••••••••Possibly resolved
    Fact••• LockedJan 1, 2024efast.dol.gov
  • 0P•••••••••Resolved negative
    Fact••• LockedJan 1, 2023efast.dol.gov
  • 0M•••••••••M•••••••••
    Inference••• Locked
What its own filings say
  1. 1999 to 2026Long establishedcontext weightFact
    ••• Locked
    Form 5500 · read Sep 17, 2026
  2. 2022 to 2024Workforce on the planflatcontext weightFact
    ••• Locked
    Form 5500 · read Sep 17, 2026
How large is it
Probable revenue
$65.8M to $132M Estimate
Probable EBITDA
$2.6M to $11.8M Estimate
Workforce proxy
188 plan participants
Method
employees x sector revenue/employee band x sector EBITDA margin band
Confidence
45%
How certain are we
  • +15S•••••••••
    Fact1 independent source
  • +8.5F••••••••
    Factlatest effective observation 2024-01-01
  • +13.5S•••••••••
    Estimate••• Locked
What changed
Ownership and transition activity
How the four classes are defined
  1. Jan 1, 2024plan year 2024Company transitionFactFinal filing, next year unpublishedconfidence 80%
    Final Form 5500 for 1 plan; the following plan year is not yet on the record
    Rule: On the 2022 and 2023 tapes, 79 to 80% of sponsors that marked a return final were absent from the RAW Form 5500 record the following plan year (any size, any industry, EIN and successor), against 1.8 to 2.1% of sponsors that did not; that is next-year absence, not a sale rate
    DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets efast.dol.gov · last verified Sep 12, 2026
  2. Jan 1, 2023plan year 2023Company transitionFactPlan terminated, sponsor continuesconfidence 50%
    1 plan marked final; the sponsor filed again the following plan year
    DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets efast.dol.gov · last verified Sep 12, 2026
  1. Every dated event
  2. Jan 1, 2024Final benefit plan filingFactTransaction preparation
    ••• Locked
    DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets efast.dol.gov
  3. Jan 1, 2023Final benefit plan filingFactTransaction preparation
    ••• Locked
    DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets efast.dol.gov
Decision makers

No named leader on the record yet: the company's site did not list one where we read it.

Profile
Founded
benefit plan since Jan 1, 1999 (age floor 27 years)
Ownership
not observed
Plans on file
1
What is the evidence
FactValueClassEffectiveSourceEvidence
Ebitda band$7.2MEstimate2026-09-12DFX model output (scores, estimates, matches)
no URL
••• Locked
Hq locationOrion, MIFact2024-01-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets
Naics code423700Fact2024-01-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets
Plan count1Fact2024-01-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets
Plan effective date earliest1999-01-01Fact2024-01-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets
Plan participants188Fact2024-01-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets
Plan participants203Fact2023-01-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets
Plan participants177Fact2022-12-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets
SubsectorHardware plumbing HVAC wholesaleFact2024-01-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets
VerticalSpecialty distributionFact2024-01-01DOL EFAST2 Form 5500 datasets