When a state regulator publishes that a facility's owner, controller or operator is about to change, the record is here with every step the state runs, its date and a link to the document. These are official filings, not forecasts.

What a record is

One item in a state regulator's own docket: a notice, application or project saying a nursing facility's ownership, control or operator is changing. DFX reads the docket, keeps every capture unchanged, and records the steps the regulator publishes in that state's own sequence. Different states run different processes and are never flattened into one.

Record classes
  • Official pending filing. The regulator's own record shows this step. Nothing about it is predicted.
  • Derived status. The status comes from what DFX observed (an item left a listing, or CMS recorded the change), not from the regulator's docket.
  • Confirmed effective change. An official record states the change took effect.
  • Withdrawn or denied. The regulator records a withdrawal or a denial.
  • Superseded. A later filing for the same facility replaced this one.
Sources, process and volume by state
  • Kentucky
    Kentucky Cabinet for Health and Family Services, Certificate of Need

    A notice of intent to acquire with the purchaser and a planned close. Kentucky has no approval step; the effective date comes from the CMS change of ownership record. 22 of the 25 open notices are one to two years past their planned close with no effective change on record.

    About 21 new records a year (mean of the last three complete years); 25 open on 14 September 2026; median notice to effective change 108 days (n 189).

  • New York
    New York Public Health and Health Planning Council

    An establishment project acknowledged by the Department of Health, placed on a council agenda, recommended by committee and voted by the council, often as a contingent approval.

    About 6 new records a year (mean of the last three complete years); 6 open on 14 September 2026; median acknowledged to council decision 510 days (n 32); to effective 1,089 days (n 23).

  • Rhode Island
    Rhode Island Health Services Council

    A change in effective control reviewed by the Health Services Council, then a decision by the director or a withdrawal.

    About 7 new records a year (mean of the last three complete years); 10 open on 14 September 2026; median filing to decision 125 days (n 61); to effective 364 days (n 25).

  • New Jersey
    New Jersey Department of Health, long-term care transfer of ownership

    A transfer of ownership application acknowledged and publicly noticed. New Jersey does not publish decisions; an item leaving the listing is recorded as observed, never as an outcome.

    About 8 new records a year (mean of the last three complete years); 15 open on 14 September 2026; median too few completed records to state a typical timing.

  • Maine
    Maine DHHS Division of Licensing and Certification, Certificate of Need

    A certificate of need review: letter of intent, application, public notice and a decision letter or withdrawal.

    About 2 new records a year (mean of the last three complete years); 2 open on 14 September 2026; median letter of intent to decision 196 days (n 12).

Across the five states that is about 44 new records a year and 58 open records. Rates are shown per state and never pooled, because the processes differ.

Timing, and what it does not claim

Timings run from the first public record to the regulator's decision or to the CMS effective date. DFX has not measured how far these records precede a press announcement, and makes no such claim. Nothing on these pages is a probability that a change will happen.

Tags

A tag is a rule over the record's own fields, such as a named proposed operator that differs from the current one, a stated planned close that has passed, or a buyer named on records for two or more facilities under the same exact legal name. Every tag lists the facts that made it true. Operators are never merged by similar names.

Freshness

Each docket is captured weekly. Every record shows when it was last checked, and the change feed lists what was new in each capture. The first complete capture of all five states was on 14 September 2026; steps before that date are history, not changes.

Accuracy

In September 2026 readers took 116 records (25 in New York, Rhode Island and Kentucky, every unaudited New Jersey record and every Maine record) and wrote down each field from the official documents without seeing DFX's values. DFX's parsed values were then compared field by field. The parser was repaired and a second audit drew 74 records no reader had seen (24 in New York, 25 in Rhode Island and Kentucky); it was repaired again and a third audit drew 74 more (every Rhode Island record left, 49, and 25 in Kentucky). Each state's figure below is its own latest audit: Rhode Island and Kentucky the third, New York the second, New Jersey and Maine the first, because every one of their records had already been read. Share of DFX values that matched, across all fields, and share of the facts in the documents that DFX captured:

  • Kentucky: 98% matched, 97% of the documents' facts captured. Verified fields: facility name, proposed operator, transaction type, dates.
  • New Jersey: 90% matched, 62% of the documents' facts captured. Verified fields: facility name, ccn, beds, proposed operator, real estate owner, transaction type, dates.
  • New York: 88% matched, 73% of the documents' facts captured. Verified fields: ccn, beds, current operator, proposed operator, proposed owners, dates.
  • Rhode Island: 93% matched, 67% of the documents' facts captured. Verified fields: ccn, transaction type, stage, dates.
  • Maine: 53% matched, 35% of the documents' facts captured. No field is verified; read the documents.

A field is verified in a state when DFX matched the document on at least 90% of 8 or more items. Unverified values print with a marker. Proposed owners and ownership percentages pass in New York, where they matched on 21 of 21 records in the second audit, and are shown there; in every other state they stay behind a closed note telling the reader to check the document. Rhode Island's stage and decision passed in the third audit (37 of 38 and 31 of 31) once the decision letters were read; its current and proposed operator fell below the bar on that larger draw (17 of 19 and 32 of 38) and should be read from the review sheet until the next audit. Kentucky's facility name passed (25 of 25); its CCN (20 of 23) did not.